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PROTRACK » 2018 Camden Classic Form Guide » Camden Classic Form Guide

Camden Classic Form Guide

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1 Camden Classic Form Guide on Fri Feb 02, 2018 10:01 am


2018 Camden Classic Form Guide

Heat 1
Nathan Visciglio 20.00
Very promising 15yo athlete with a 400m PB of 50.67sec (9/12/17). He won the Little Athletics’ 800m at Stawell in 2017. Ran a blistering 200m off the back mark in the Brighton under 18’s 400m final to hit the front half way before being passed in the straight. First start at open level. Prefer his chances in the Under 18’s.

Matthew Sinclair 24.00
He’s been registered since 2010 and has never won a sash nor been on the dais. Main reason is that he has competed spasmodically and has not run a 400 since Camden in 2015, (52.4 off 23m). He’s been fourth a couple of times including 4th in the Pre-Bay 550m in December. Has been kept tight in the marks considering his history compared to others. Unlikely to advance to a final here.

Shane Ezard (Vic) 27.00
3rd 2015 Camden Classic (48.49s off 27m). Ran 4th Rye 400m in January (49.57s off 25m) before suffering an injury at Castlemaine.

Brad Schutz 34.00
2012 Camden winner (48.17s off 40m). Won the 70m at Maryborough on New Year’s Day.
Ran well in the heat (34.45s) in the Marion 300m on 14th Jan before finishing last in the final (35.51s off 8m). Finished a long way back last year (56.1s off 30m), so should run better than that but based on Marion, it’s hard to see him having an impact here.

Nickolas Berry 40.00
Normally runs from a larger mark than the Camden limit. At Sacred Heart he finished last in his heat (50.81s off 46m). Can’t consider on that form.

Robert Keenan (Vic) 40.00
Three-time finalist including a 3rd place in 2012 (48.64s off 35m). He was 5th in 2015 (48.75s off 37m) and goes forward 3m. Last week he ran 4th in the Wangaratta 400m (49.69s off 38m). Has hit form at the right time and with no one in front of him, he is a massive threat to take the Camden sash back to Victoria.

Tips: Keenan – Visciglio - Schutz

Heat 2
Izak Rankine 20.00
Rising AFL star having his first start. Representing West Adelaide, he won the SANFL Grand Final sprint over 80m. Clearly has some toe but this distance is five times what he ran on Grand Final day so hard to imagine that off the back of footy training he will catch those who have specifically trained for it.

Jack Doderico (Vic) 22.00
Ran 5th in 2016 (47.95s off 26m) then won the 400m at Stawell (46.66s off 29m). Hard a slow start to the season but then ran 2nd over 300m at Maribyrnong (35.91s off 21m). Last week he ran 2nd in his Wangaratta 400m heat (49.79s off 22m) just missing the final. Meets other Vics worse off so might be just off the pace this year.

Bradley Harvey 28.00
Ran both the 400’s at Sacred Heart (4th off 26m in 50.83s) and Brighton (5th off 26m in 48.96s) but then stepped up a gear with a big run in the 400m at Maryborough recording the fastest heat (47.85s off 26m) before finishing 3rd in the final. He then was a clear 2nd behind Tim Johnson over 300m at Marion (33.7s off 24m). Has gone forward 2m and as the only athlete to break 48s this year, comes into this with huge claims.

Matt Learhinan 34.00
Impressive winner of the Camden under 18’s 400m last year (50.65 off 28m). He ran 2nd in his Marion 300m heat before finishing fifth in the final (34.8s off 30m). He’s drawn a tough heat so unlikely to make the final but has the promise and a very good mark for his age to do some serious damage in the next few years.

Jarrad Dartnall 38.00
Ran 2nd in the 120m Brighton Gift and his best circle event so far this campaign was running 5th over 300m at Kensington (35.64s off 26m). Has been a five-time finalist with a best result of 4th in 2012 (48.83s off 32m). Has a 4m lift on last year which brings him right into it but with Harvey in the heat he might have to rely on a fastest time to qualify for a sixth final.

Jacobi Ponury 40.00
Another youngster who has shot out in the marks without a lot of runs over the distance. Six years ago as a 15yo, he won the Camden under 17’s 400m off 42m in 49.51s. Only managed 5th in his heat of the Sacred Heart 400m (48.8s off 34m), a race won by his stablemate Isaac Byrnes. He didn’t fire a shot over 550m at the Bay but is much better suited by this distance. Just might be lacking the experience to push for the final this year.

Tips: Harvey – Dartnall – Ponury

Heat 3
Sam Russell 16.00
Three-time finalist with a best result of 3rd last year (47.99s off 18m). A dual 400m state champion (2013 & 2016) he ran 48.37s on 18th November beating home some sub 48s athletes in Cameron & Stenson. He is entered for the state championships this weekend so may be a doubtful starter. Despite 2m back from his 2017 mark, if he does run, he should win this heat.

Deng Bulabek 23.00
Has had an interrupted preparation, so he’s not in the shape he was a couple of years ago when he ran 3rd in the final (47.92s off 23m). Finished off the pace over 300m at Marion and from what we saw there, it’s doubtful he could advance to the final.

Chad Ryan (Vic) 28.00
Has been working himself into form and recently made a couple of finals around the circle with a 3rd over 300m at St Albans (34.52s off 24m) and last week ran 7th in the 400m at Wangaratta (49.69s off 22m). He goes forward 6m on his Victorian 400m mark which brings him into calculations.

Jakson Messent 29.00
Ran very well at Brighton in December 2016 (14 months ago) where he finished 4th in the 400m (48.39s off 27m) but then only managed 4th in his Camden heat (51.73 off 27m). He had his first start this season at Marion 3 weeks ago, where he ran a strong 300m heat (34.28s off 26m) before fading in the final (35.22s). Not a strong heat so he could take this out in the absence of Russell, but he might lack the race condition to back it up in the final.

Jack Allen 36.00
Finished well back at Brighton in his 400m heat (54.79s off 36m). Similar result in the 550m at the Bay Sheffield. Best result was his 2nd place in the 400m novice at Western District last season (48.78s off 40m). However, the recent form suggests he will struggle in this.

Hayden Petherick 40.00
Enjoyed his only sash in the 400m novice at Pulteney last season (46.41s off 60m). Comes back 20m from that win to the Camden limit. Finished a fair way back in the Marion 300m (36.95s off 36m).

Tips: Russell – Ryan – Messent

Heat 4
Bryce Watkins 14.00
Five-time Camden finalist with a best result of 2nd in 2016 (47.82s off 15m). Hasn’t run an SAAL 400 since last year’s Camden where he had 11m and missed the final. Has a 400m PB of 48.67s (1/3/14) but has yet to break 49s this season with a best time of 49.05s. Doesn’t appear to be in best shape. Entered for the 800m state championship this weekend so may be a doubtful starter.

Hamish Petherick 22.00
Yet to compete this season but did have a run over 200m at ASA a fortnight ago recording 22.72s. He was a gun junior and ran a brilliant race to finish 2nd off scratch n the under 18’s 300m at Loxton 2 years ago. Clearly not in that shape now and unlikely to cause an upset in this.

Kostya Khudoshin 26.00
A three-time Camden finalist including runner-up twice (2012 & 2014). In 2014 he ran 47.39s off 24m to finish behind Robert Spencer. Ran 3rd in his heat last year (50.20s off 23m) and has gone forward 3m. His Bay Sheffield 550m run was solid – 6th in the final off 34m. Doesn’t appear to be in 2014 shape, but he may not have to be. If Watkins runs the state champs, he probably wins the heat.

James Bayliss 30.00
Cracking run in the 400m novice at the opening meet in October at St Michaels winning in a quick time (47.21s off 34m). Then won the 300m All Comers at Kensington (34.52s off 26m). Was off the boil at the Bay Sheffield where he was expected to do well in the Restricted. Needs to get back to his early season form.

Brayden Theil 34.00
Not much 400m form of note. Ran 5th in his Bay Sheffield 550m heat (1-16.59 off 44m). Had a win early in the season in the Flinders 800m novice. Ran 7th in his 2017 Camden heat (53.35s off 30m).

Hunter Rubino 40.00
Another with no recent 400m form. Did win a junior 400m at Henley a couple of years go in a quick time of 46.5 but ran off 66m. Won the Flinders 800m open in October. Ran 400m in 55.57sec at ASA on 25th January.

Tips: Khudoshin – B Watkins – Bayliss

Heat 5
John Evans 4.00
Winner of the 2017 Camden Classic with a massive run down the outside after coming from last on the turn (47.74s off 20m). Showed he has adjusted to the new mark OK with a solid 2nd in the Sacred Heart 400m in November. With many lifted 2m or more and John back 6m he’s going to need everything to go right. Especially as he’s drawn a solid heat with two of last year’s finalists in Rothe & Girolamo.

Lachlan Sheffield 24.00
Hasn’t run at Camden for four years when he ran the junior 120m. His last 400m SAAL run was at Henley in 2013. Ran a 400m in 54.31sec at ASA on 6th January. He ran a 200m in 22.65s two weeks ago. Has the raw speed to challenge but hard to recommend on recent form.

Hayden Rothe 25.00
Has been in the last two finals, 9th in 2016 off 21m, then 6th last year (48.69s off 23m). Has gone forward 2m and comes into the race off the back of solid performance over 300m at Marion (4th in 34.31s off 18m). He goes up 7m to his 400m mark so meets most of the Marion field better off here. Should be right in it and would probably start favourite.

Robert Killmier 30.00
Hasn’t run in the Classic since 2015 when he ran 2nd in the consolation (49.28s off 26m). He did run 2nd in the 2013 Camden final (48.49s off 26m) but it’s been a steady decline since. The last two starts he ran 3rd in his Bay Sheffield 550m heat off 36m then was 7th over 800m at Marion. With a 4m lift he has the biggest mark of his career, but he seems a fair way off his best shape.

Tim Earle 34.00
Won the 1600m at the PreBay meet and backed up with a 2nd over the same distance at the Bay Sheffield carnival. Hasn’t any one lap form of note but did run 3rd over 550m at Flagstaff Hill last season. Probably lacks the genuine speed to be a contender here.

David Girolamo 40.00
Finalist in the 2017 Camden Classic (8th in 49.05s off 40m). Recent lead in form not as good as last season. 9th in the Brighton 400m final (54.56s off 40m) and only managed 6th in his heat of the 400m at Sacred Heart in November, a race he won in 2016. Has drawn a tough heat so hard to see him make it back to back finals.

Tips: Rothe – Evans – Girolamo

Heat 6
Clay Watkins 0.00
Six-times Camden finalist including a memorable win off 6m in 2015. Ran 46.79s for 400m at Canberra last week as he gears up for a shot at the Commonwealth Games 4x400m relay squad. He’s entered for the state championships so unlikely to run at Camden. If he does run, he probably wins this heat.

Luke Houlihan 22.00
Ran a brilliant 300m at Loxton 3 years ago, winning in in 33.16s off 20m. Hasn’t run an SAAL 400m since Henley 2015. Couldn’t make the final of the 300m at Marion and was 4th in his 300m heat at St Albans (36.30s off 9m). He is entered for the Ballarat Gift so may not run, but if he does he’s unlikely to advance to the final.

Cameron Vinall 24.00
Twice a winner of the junior 550m at the Bay Sheffield, he looks the Camden type but has yet to show any real form over 400m. Ran 6th in the Sacred Heart 400m (49.31s off 24m). Recently ran 11.41s for 100m at ASA but didn’t run the 400. May not be ready for a race of this magnitude but could surprise.

Ollie Wurm (Vic) 28.00
While he has a 47.62 PB from 2009, his recent form has been ordinary. Ran 8th in a heat of the 300m at St Albans and 3rd in a 400m heat at Wangaratta (50.37s off 25m). Can’t recommend on last weeks’ run.

Lachlan Burrows 30.00
Well performed junior athlete he ran in the Bay Sheffield 550m (4th in the heat, 1-11.64 off 44m). He ran 3rd in the Port Adelaide 550m. In his most recent 400m runs at ASA he ran 55.05s twice on 6th January and 20th January. Based on those results, he won’t be making the final.

Matthew Cousins 40.00
Winner of the 2005 Camden Classic, he was 3rd in the Brighton 400m (50.58s off 44m). Comes back 4m to the Camden limit. Better chance in the Over 35’s 400m.

Christopher Simpson 40.00
Has good form with a 3rd place over 400m at Sacred Heart (48.30s off 46m). However, like Cousins he comes back to the Camden limit so meets most of the contenders much worse off.

Tips: C Watkins – Vinall - Wurm

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