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PROTRACK » GENERAL » Women’s Stawell Gift formguide

Women’s Stawell Gift formguide

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1 Women’s Stawell Gift formguide on Mon Mar 26, 2018 9:24 pm

FortySevenThirty


I heard there was going to be a Men’s formguide coming so the thought I would give the Women’s a go so here it is

Pam Austin 10.5m
Has returned from a couple years off the circuit in fine form. Has made every Womens final she has entered this season and won off same mark at Daylesford. Has to be respected

Demi Axford  11m
Her South Australian form says no

Karlee Bailey 10.25m
Short course specialist who could have given the Women’s 70m a huge shake but injured last weekend and looks to be a scratching

Hana Basic 2.75m
Class performer who looks to be nearing her best again. With getting lifts every time she runs or doesn’t run she is nicely handicapped here and should go close.

Sarah Blizzard 2.25m
Aiming for her 5th straight final which would be an incredible achievement. Struggled a bit at Parkdale and on that run I can’t see her making the final this year.

Cara Boustead 10.5m
Inconsistent performer whose from is very patchey and hard to line up. Hasn’t quite mastered the art of Running Dead just yet. However she has made and won big finals before and did win the Ballarat 400m this season but we just don’t know which Cara Boustead will turn up. I can’t have her but she can’t be completely discarded either.

Angela Byrt 4.5m
Pint sized top line performer who has got out to the best mark she has had in ages. Cannot be dismissed

Rachael Carnegie 11m
Had same mark at Stawell last year and didn’t progress past the heats. Would need to have improved a fair bit to challenge here.

Sarah Chigwidden 9m
Great South Australian name but Computer says no

Jemma Clayton 11m
Entitled to run off a bigger mark so not for me here off 11m

Ruby Crisp 10m
16.6 sec at Maryborough off 6m is not the form to get close in this race. Better suited in the Girls Under 18 100m

Zoe Cunningham 9m
Not on her Rye run. Another who will be better suited in the Under 18 race.

Holly Dobbyn 3m
2014 Winner who has returned to form and full fitness after a couple of injury plagued seasons. Winner at Rye this season but I’m not sure she is POD’s best chance but should at least make the Semi then anything is possible. Keep safe

Tara Domaschenz 5m
Looks to be the pick of the POD stable for mine. Dual Stonnington Gift winner who is proven on the big stage. 2nd In this years Ballarat and Bendigo Gifts so another big win is just around the corner. Huge chance

Laura Downie 7.75m
Big watch for me here. Tassie marks always stack up well over here and the fact that no other Tasmanian will make the trip over tells me she is a huge chance. Bendigo Black Pearl winner so is in super form. Will give this a huge shake and should make the final

Caitlyn Ejai 6m
Betting only guide

Gemma Fairclough 11m
Has a PB of 12.8 so if she is any where near that kind of shape can push for a finals berth here. Hasn’t progressed to the semis In the last few seasons but keep safe.

Jessica Farrugia 11m
Usually runs off a much bigger mark then 11m. Others look better

Sophia Fighera 5.25m
Elder of the two Fighera sisters and if I had to pick one I would have the younger one slightly ahead over the shorter journey. Prefer her in the 400m but has got the same winning mark as at St Albans so can’t be discarded completely.

Sienna Fighera 5.25m
Has been there abouts this season without saluting. Has felt the wrath of the Stewards earlier in the season and on paper I can’t see her turning the tables on Reddinghaus. But Stawell isn’t run on paper and she has won a Sandy Gift beating a top class field last season. In astute stable so is a big chance to final here.

Elizabeth Forsyth 7m
Handy Recent PB of 12.45sec so any more improvement could see her figure prominently here. Watch

Sarah Garamszegi 9m
Entered the Open 70m at Doncaster and was a scratching. Look for any market leads but an unknown quantity.

Eleni Gilden 10m
My pick of the Gilden girls. Unlucky to miss the Ballarat Final and won the big 400m at Castlemaine last season. Definite semi finalist with a show at the final

Rosamond Gilden 11m
Some nice runs at Ballarat this season beating Dobbyn in a heat. Lobs on the limit here so must be respected

Mia Gross 1.75m
A prodigious talent this kid is. Won the Jack Donaldson two seasons ago and off a tight mark here.She should be still in PB shape and anywhere that sort of form will put her in it up to her eyeballs come Monday. Huge show

Megan Grubb 11m
Entitled to run off a bigger mark than this. Looking elsewhere

Caitlin Hawks 7.5m
Doesn’t have the leg turnover of a few of the others but still covers the ground well. Has finished 4th before in 2015 off a lot bigger mark but she will be strong in the last 20m with having a 400m background. Definite chance to final again

Keely Henderson 6.5m
Former finalist in 2015 and has won the Stonnington and Ballarat Gifts in the last two seasons. Not going anywhere near as good as that and with no lifts since the Ballarat win, I can’t see her getting out of the heat stage here.

Grainne Henry 11m
Another interstate visitor on the limit here. Needs to improve on last years result to be a factor.

LJ Hilditch 9m
Former winner of Stawell and other big races and has the best mark she has had in a while. I get the feeling she may have had her share of injury problems this season so maybe wait till she is up and firing again. Not this year for me

Ruby Holten 11m
First year runner who has been made competitive very quickly through some very generous handicapping. Winner at Doncaster and is entitled to a couple of metres more but probably still capable of making a Semi off 11m. Had a very good season for her first that’s for sure.

Julie Hovey 11m
Great to see Julie having crack out there. Needs more than 11m though I am afraid.

Kendra Hubbard 2.25m
Absolutely love watching the Purple hair flashing around the track. Races sparingly but is always very competitive over all distances. Close second in the Jack Donaldson last year so will be very strong at the end. Definite Semi Finalist with a shot at making the final. Demolished a good field in the Women’s 300m at Northcote off the back mark of 6m

Rachel Jackson 11m
Can’t win this one. Prefer in the Junior girls race

Steph Jinks 11m
John Hilditch has really got this kid moving well this season over all distances with wins ranging from 70m to 550m. Finds the limit here so has been perfectly prepared for this. Always has a smile on her face and maybe will have a bigger one come Monday. Not much between Jinks and Austin out of the FAST squad but I have Jinks just ahead.

Kate Jones 8.25m
Won Ararat earlier in the season then picked up her hometown Gift of Ballarat in a well earnt victory off 9m metres in slick time. Went back to 7.50m but has quickly somehow found her way back to 8.25m. So off that mark should be around the money

Heidi Joosten 11m
Entitled to a bigger mark so not here for me

Lauren Keating 10m
NSW visitor who certainly knows how to snag a victory when she makes the trek down south. Semi Final is probably as far as she goes here though.

Edwina Kidd 11m
South Australian visitor who showed she is in form by making the Bendigo Final and running 5th in a quick time. Only back half a metre on that run so certainly makes the Semi here.

Yvette Koso 8.25m
Former classy junior who runs sparingly and on the dog tracks so I would expect a sharp improvement on fast Stawell track. Did beat Boustead easily in a heat at Avondale Heights but obviously got her on an off day. Semi at best for me but will watch her with interest.

Ebony Lane 6m
Winner at Northcote and Rye last year and only back one metre from her Rye victory. Classy runner and if she has improved from last season can certainly figure in the finish here.

Skyla Lauch 9.25m
Might be a little bit off the pace at this early stage. Later on

Kayla Lemm 7.5m
Stormed to victory at Bendigo off the generous mark of 8.75m and only back to 7.5m here. She had a metre or so to spare at the line so must be a good chance to final here.

Kelsey Lewis 9m
Only one run on the circuit off 5m at Geelong. Decent lift for this but can’t see her progressing through the heats

Hannah Lindstrum 9.75m
She has made a lot of finals this season and has been around the mark without winning. That’s good form for me. Relaxed type of runner and for me, the top pick in the Lewis camp. Can she turn the tables on Reddingius in this is the question. I think she can. Final for me

Alexia Loizou 5.25m
Hasn’t won a Women’s Gift race as yet but in astute stable who know how to get the job done. Rates very highly in my book and can certainly make the final here. One of the major players here

Loren London 8.75m
Made semis off 8.50m last year which was with the field lift. So I can’t see any reason why she cant at least make the Semis again. Sneaky chance

Talia Martin 6m
Winner of this race two years ago. A little inconsistent this season but did make the Ballarat final in what was a high class race. I don’t think she is the top pick of the POD squad this year but she certainly knows how to win at Stawell. I wouldn’t discount her but think she may be a little too far back in the marks to pull this off.

Georgia Mason 11m
Has scratched a lot this season but would need to have improved a long way from her Sandringham run. Not here

Jordan McMillan 6.5m
Young South Australian who can certainly move but would need to be the quality of a Molly Farmer to win off that mark

Natassia Messent 6.5m
Another South Australian coming over to test the waters. The girl has a lot of ability but it is a tough mark she has got here. Runs off bigger marks in SA

Lily Micklethwait 9.5m
Come over from South Australia to run at Bendigo and didn’t look fully wound up to my eye. Has an extra quarter here but I don’t think she can improve enough in a short amount of time to be a factor in this.

Amie Mittiga 4.75m
Last seasons Bendigo Gift winner off 5.25m Also ran a close second in the 2017 Ballarat Gift. Third at Bendigo and just nutted by Domaschenz but I think her run was slightly better. If Domaschenz is a chance so is Mittiga. One of South Australia’s best show in this years race.

Katie Moore 7.5m
I like Katie’s chances in this. Always looks super fit but tends to drop time through the rounds on occasions so may have trouble backing up after a few tough runs. Biggest mark I have seen her run off and the fact that the rounds are spaced will work in her favour. Has to be a chance.

Caitlyn Murdock 7m
Not sure Caitlyn can get the job done here. Would need to improve her PB by a fair way of that mark

Zoe Neale 7.75m
Smooth moving young athlete with a heap of ability. Maybe a year or two short of challenging for the big one but will be very hard to beat in the Junior race this year.

Rachel O’Brien 10m
Ballarat run off same mark suggests she may struggle to get out of the heats here. Another one who will find the Junior race a bit more up her alley

Deni O’Connor 11m
Ungainly runner who still covers
the ground well. Has made finals this season off huge marks and run placings but can’t get out of her heat off 11m in this. 18m in the Junior race will make her hard to beat and is her best shot at grabbing a Stawell sash

Grace O’Dwyer 4m
2015 winner who obviously has had other priorities this year and with not much handicap relief of late she can’t win here.

Anna Pasquali 10.25m
Won the Stawell Women’s 400m like Winx last season. I think the sprint may be her main focus this season so with the nice mark of 10.25m here,she has to be a great chance to final again.

Jess Payne 2m
2016 Bay Sheffield winner who copped a huge pull for that win. Injury halted her season at this seasons Bay Sheffield and will be underdone for this. Not this year

Taylah Perry 5.75m
Classy pint sized sprinter who is all class. Not too far back from her Stawell final mark from last season but I get the feeling she has had her own injury problems and to my eye, isn’t moving as well as last season.

Tayla Phillis 6m
SA raider who’s mark is a couple of metres less than her SA mark. Outside chance on making a Semi here

Dani Pike 11m
Has been around the mark before off bigger marks but with 11m here I can’t see her getting out of the heat.

April Potter 7.75m
Not here on her Avondale Heights run. Later

Joanna Potter 11m
See April Potter

Bridget Powell 5.75m
Huge improvement late in the season last year to finish a very close second to Ryan in the final. Will find it harder than last year

Kiara Reddingius 3m
Super fit and unlucky not to have made the Australian Comm Games team in the Heptathlon. Her exclusion is bad news for the rest of the field and her Parkdale win was a great trial for next week. My tip to win the race.

Nicole Reynolds 6.75m
Returning from an injury plagued last couple of seasons. Short of her best and not for me here.

Stephanie Richards 7m
Probably the hardest runner to do the form on for this race. The kid has loads of talent but doesn’t make many big Women’s finals. Has made a heap of smaller Open Gift finals without saluting. More of a short course specialist with a few smaller 70m wins. If the handbrake is released anything is possible for this kid. She finals for me.

Adelaide Robertson 8m
Another of the classy Lewis stable. I think she may be the one they tuck away for next year.

Mikayla Round 6.75m
Finalled in the Bay Sheffield off 8.5m and comes back 1.75m here. Will make the Semi but may drop short of making the final this year

Elizabeth Rauch 7m
Raced sparingly this season but always has a crack in every race she runs in. 7m is a nice mark for her and if she is fit and well can definitely push for a spot in the final here.

Olivia Russo 3.75m
Starting on the Novice mark was probably too much and was really forced to win at Northcote. But winning Maryborough and Euroa tells me maybe Lindstrum is the top pick in the stable. She is not out of it by any means but I reckon maybe the 70m Women’s might be an easier option for her. Very honest runner so any win will be a great result.

Liv Ryan 4.5m
Last years winner who is back 6.5m here. Has definitely improved to my eye but I can’t see her making a final off that mark. Semi at best.

Loryn Savioa 11m
A real surprise packet this season after a year off. Two smaller wins this season has made it a very successful year for Loryn. Only back 1.25m from the mark she made the Bendigo Gift final and will make the semis here but I think she may fall short of making the final.

Angelica Selkirk 6.5m
Don’t know much or anything about this kid. Tough mark so I’m thinking she will be more suited to the Junior Girls Gift. Watch for any market leads.

Keely Shillito 11m
Not going to get out of her heat here and is much better suited to the Junior girls race.

Tiana Shillito 11m
The quicker of the two Shillito sisters. Found another gear at Parkdale and made the final off a bigger mark. Will find it tough here but will go very close in the Junior Gift. Definitely on the improve this kid.

Bethany Simpson 11m
Another of POD’s youngsters who will find this hard. Not sure she is still eligible for the Junior race but if she is that may be her best shot

Hannah Simpson 10.5m
Hannah has moved her mark out nicely this season but can’t get out of her heat here

Mayla Singh 7m
Handicapped to run low 14’s on her PB so if she in that sort of shape she needs to be respected. Semi final for me

Ella Squire 11m
Lobs on the limit here and is definitely one to watch for the future. Not sure of her Junior Girls mark but whatever it is, she has to be a chance. From memory has picked up a race somewhere this season. In the Blackbook for somewhere down the track.

Tayla Stallan 8.5m
Scratches a lot in SA. It’s doing my head trying to line up the form here. So all I can say is at least one of the Stallan girls will make an impact in something.

Lakara Stallan 6.5m
See Tayla Stallan

Caitlin Stallan 7m
Runner Up to Farmer in the Bay Sheffield Final off 11.5m
She may be cheering one of her sisters home on Monday Afternoon.

Virginia Stasyszyn 8.75m
Gee that is a hard name to spell.
One of Barbers Army who had her crack in the Bay Sheffield where she ran 5th. She will be cheering home her stablemate in the final on Monday

Davina Strauss 7.5m
Former winner who may be a Vet now. My apologies if you are not Davina. Has been given an extra 0.75m on her Avondale Heights run but would need to improve sharply on that run to figure here.  
Massive watch though because she didn’t seem to get out of second gear that day.

Kellie Symons 10m
Needs to find a fair bit on last years Gift to figure in this

Amy Tolcon 2m
Classy Athlete who I rate slightly behind Gross. If Gross is a huge chance to final so is this girl. Huge watch

Alex Tzilantonis 11m
Another hard name to spell. Following the Martin, Ryan path but I’m afraid third time is not a charm for young Alex this year. Has improved so maybe a back to back Junior win like Martin is on the cards

Ellie Whittingham 7m
This girl can move a bit but will find it hard off 7m. An outside chance to make the Semis

Kelsie Williams 9.5m
A metre lift from her Wangaratta run but too much improvement is needed here to be a factor. One to watch for the future



Last edited by FortySevenThirty on Wed Mar 28, 2018 10:51 pm; edited 2 times in total (Reason for editing : Removed content)

2 Re: Women’s Stawell Gift formguide on Mon Mar 26, 2018 11:03 pm

Slowcoach


Fantastic work FortySevenThirty, well done

3 Re: Women’s Stawell Gift formguide on Tue Mar 27, 2018 9:13 am

Whispers


ProTrack Star
ProTrack Star
Well done 4730, youve summed up SA girls chances very very well, IF one can SNEAK into the final that would be a good result.And I say SNEAK in, dont expect any to go past the Semis.

4 Re: Women’s Stawell Gift formguide on Tue Mar 27, 2018 10:16 am

Admin

avatar
Admin
Admin
Great work FortySevenThirty

It's not easy to check the credentials of every athlete in such a large field. Excellent contribution.

http://protrack.forumotion.com

5 Re: Women’s Stawell Gift formguide on Tue Mar 27, 2018 10:22 am

FortySevenThirty


Admin wrote:Great work FortySevenThirty

It's not easy to check the credentials of every athlete in such a large field. Excellent contribution.

Thanks Admin, it took about 6hours to do but got to chuckle a little along to way. No where near Youngy’s standard of humour just yet but it will come in time. Hopefully I didn’t offend anybody

6 Re: Women’s Stawell Gift formguide on Tue Mar 27, 2018 11:09 am

untouchables

avatar
FortySevenThirty wrote:
Admin wrote:Great work FortySevenThirty

It's not easy to check the credentials of every athlete in such a large field. Excellent contribution.

Thanks Admin, it took about 6hours to do but got to chuckle a little along to way. No where near Youngy’s standard of humour just yet but it will come in time. Hopefully I didn’t offend anybody

the form guide should be added to the official program guide with current odds. well done 407030 cheers

7 Re: Women’s Stawell Gift formguide on Tue Mar 27, 2018 11:38 am

tasmanian


It would be great to tee a Tasmanian girl win and Laura Downie is in great recent form.

8 Re: Women’s Stawell Gift formguide on Tue Mar 27, 2018 8:13 pm

Thatsthestats


Nice write up 4730. I think you are going to be happy Tasmanian. Laura Downie is my tip to win it. Can’t wait for the Blokes formguide to be released.

9 Re: Women’s Stawell Gift formguide on Wed Mar 28, 2018 9:23 pm

Innocent Bystander


What about Olivia Russo (3.75) 4730? Justin Lewis stable, first season, 3 sashes Northcote, Maryborough and Euroa. Edged out Lidstrom and Austin at Euroa.

10 Re: Women’s Stawell Gift formguide on Wed Mar 28, 2018 9:37 pm

FortySevenThirty


Shit I did miss her Innocent Bystander.
I think you summed it up well.
I probably would add that her starting on the Novice mark was probably too much and was really forced to win at Northcote. But winning Maryborough and Euroa tells me maybe Lindstrum is the top pick in the stable. She is not out of it by any means but I reckon maybe the 70m Women’s might be an easier option for her. Very honest runner so any win will be a great result.



Last edited by FortySevenThirty on Wed Mar 28, 2018 9:39 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : Changed one word)

11 Re: Women’s Stawell Gift formguide on Wed Mar 28, 2018 9:47 pm

FortySevenThirty


I’ve added Russo to the form guide. Thanks for the Heads Up Innocent Bystander

12 Re: Women’s Stawell Gift formguide on Thu Mar 29, 2018 3:12 pm

cantrun


Bloody awesome write up ! Pass this to the handicapper... !

13 Re: Women’s Stawell Gift formguide on Thu Mar 29, 2018 3:56 pm

The Ball Tamperer


cantrun wrote:Bloody awesome write up ! Pass this to the handicapper... !

Yes what he said!

FWIW - they work in mysterious ways that crew who look after young Sienna Fighera. Expect a big..... and I mean big improvement this week.
A bit of the old SWEET was playing at Parkdale. I'm talking FOX ON THE RUN.

14 Re: Women’s Stawell Gift formguide on Thu Mar 29, 2018 5:16 pm

Thatsthestats


That Stats say Fighera has no chance of turning the tables on Reddingius. In fact the stats say nobody in that final should be able to turn the tables on her.i think Old Mate Darryl will be rather pissed if they do. Playing games a week out is a very foolish thing to do

15 Re: Women’s Stawell Gift formguide on Thu Mar 29, 2018 11:26 pm

untouchables

avatar
I think there will be only one sting on show this weekend. It is showing on gem on friday night 8.40 pm come on lucky dan. lol!

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